Delhi, Mum top most-populated list
2 Cities That Didn’t Feature
On Top-30 List In ’50 Now Hog Leading Spots
Of
all the big cities of the world, the rise of Delhi and Mumbai is
the most dramatic growth story. By 2025, the two urban
agglomerations will have 54 million residents between them.
While Delhi did not even feature in the top 30 cities of the
world in 1950, it is now the world’s second largest. Between
2000 and 2005, Delhi leapfrogged over Mumbai to become India’s
largest urban agglomeration. Mumbai, which was the 17th largest
city in 1950 will go from the world’s 4th to 3rd largest,
overtaking Sao Paulo, over the next five years.
The UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs Population
Divisions 2009 Revision of World Urbanization Prospects shows
that just as the 75 years between 1950 and 2025 are a story of
the growth of cities in the developing world, particularly in
India, they are also the story of the decline of Western cities.
New York-Newark, the worlds biggest urban agglomeration in 1950,
is now only the sixth largest and will drop to seventh by 2025.
While the United States had eight of the world’s 30 largest
cities in 1950, it now has three, Chicago and Los Angeles being
the other two.
The trend is even more pronounced in western Europe. London,
the world’s third biggest city in 1950 now does not feature on
the top-30 list. Paris is the only western European city still
on the list, a far cry from 1950 when nine cities of the UK and
western Europe were among the top 30.
Tokyo, meanwhile, has consistently maintained its position.
In 1950, it was the world’s second biggest city and by 1955, it
became the largest, a position it will hold into 2025. However,
it is the absolute numbers that tell the real story of Delhi and
Mumbai’s explosion. In 2025, Tokyo will have 37.09 million
residents, a little over three times its 1950 population.
Mumbai, on the other hand, will have seen its population
multiply over ten times in the same period to reach a staggering
25.81 million.
Just 14% of urban populace in
3 mega cities
In mid-2009 it
was declared that the tipping point has been crossed with world
urban population breaching the 50% mark for the first time in
human history. Contrary to the general impression, the bulk of
this urban population does not stay in big metropolises. Over
53% of the world’s total urban population of 3.4 billion resides
in towns with less than 5 lakh population. Of these, about 1.14
billion, or one third, stay in towns with less than 1 lakh
population. At the other end of the spectrum, are the
better-known mega cities, each with population of over 10
million (1 crore). Only about 9% of the world’s urban population
lives in the 21 such mega cities existing today. These details
of the fast changing face of the urban world have been released
by the Population
Division of the UN in its latest report on urbanization.
The report provides first official confirmation that current
urban population is just over 50% of the world population of 6.8
billion. It is expected that world population will increase to
9.1 billion by 2050. The urban segment will jump by 84% to reach
about 6.3 billion by that year. In other words, 70% of humanity
will be living in urban areas by then. Rural populations are
projected to start declining by the end of this decade and by
2050, there will be 0.5 billion less rural people than today.
The distribution of urban population varies widely across
the globe. In Europe, 67% of urban dwellers live in cities with
fewer than half a million inhabitants and only 8% live in cities
with 5 million inhabitants or more. Africa is similar to Europe,
with 58% of urban dwellers living in smaller cities and just 9%
living in cities with over 5 million inhabitants.
In Asia, Latin America and the Caribbean, and Northern
America, about one in every five urban dwellers live in a large
urban agglomeration. The proportion of urban dwellers living in
small cities is about 50% in Asia and in Latin America and the
Caribbean, but it is a low 37% in Northern America. In India,
about 14% of the urban population, that is about 53 million
people, stay in the three 10-million-plus urban agglomerations
(Delhi, Mumbai and Kolkata. Another 9%, or 32 million stay in
cities of size ranging between 5 to 10 million.
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